• 6 Posts
  • 303 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • I recall from elementary game theory that the ability to provably bind oneself to an action (ie make a promise you can’t back out of) is extremely valuable in negotiation. It is hugely important in our day to day lives (loans, service contracts etc), but also politics.

    The US ability to have people believe their promises has been shredded by Trump (Eg Iran Nuclear Treaty). We just renegotiated NAFTA to the USMCA, and now all of a sudden it’s no good? How can we trust that this deal will last more than 15 minutes? How can we have any sort of partnership with an organization like this?






  • They fenced my son’s school this summer. Previously it was only the playground and field that was fenced. New fence is 4 ft high, no gates, just gaps at walk ways.

    At first I was unhappy about it, feeling that it cut the school off from the community. But then my son and I arrived early one day and had his soccer ball, we were able to really play on a lawn that would have been too small without a fence. So I can see that the fence creates more usable space for the school. And I’ve come around.




  • Yes, but what makes you think that that could possibly be what’s about to happen?

    I think it is far more likely that liberal voters turnout will be down because of trudeau fatigue, this will cost the liberals battleground ridings. I think conservatives will have higher turnout than normal in traditional red seats since there is now a chance of their vote mattering. And I think that will cost the liberals even more seats.

    I base this prediction on liberal party performance in the last two by-elections.





  • I’m jumping in to ask what you think of my hair-brained idea of taking all these seized boughtback weapons and launching them into temporarily occupied parts of Ukraine and/or disaffected parts of Russia with ~2 magazines of appropriate ammo each. Via idk hot airballoon or something.

    Since Russia already has the ability to distribute small arms to anti-Kievans in those areas, I don’t think it significantly increases the risks to Ukrainian forces. Would it hamper Russian operations in any way?